Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year
Reduces both margin and volume outlook
Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices
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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto
HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and also reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending the business's share price down 10%.
Neste stated a drop in the price of routine diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.
A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent market.
Neste in a declaration slashed the expected typical similar sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.
The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted considering that the start of the year, it included.
A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.
"Renewable products' prices have been negatively impacted by a considerable decrease in (the) diesel rate during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.
"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not reduced and eco-friendly product market rate premiums have stayed weak," the business included.
Industry executives and analysts have stated rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly expansion strategies in Europe.
While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.
Neste's share price had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)